Talk:Cognition August2018/@comment-35453425-20180530154508

Yes, Molly, that is part of what I am saying. Will also points out, though, that they are using a method of repeated sampling from the bag that allows for more information to lead to better choices. So, yes, when you double the sample size, even though the ratio of orange to blue you see stays the same (e.g., 6/10 to 12/20), this leads to better confidence. Makes sense, it's just that I wonder whether this is probability estimation, or just greater visual feedback about quantities that allows for a stronger representation of relative numbers of items. Still sophisticated, the issue is what to call this when someone does it. At least, I think.